Recent unexpected builds in U.S. commercial crude oil inventories have introduced volatility ahead of the August 28 resolution. EIA data for the week ended August 7 showed a 17.4 million barrel rise to 424.4 million barrels, driven by higher imports and lower exports, contrary to analyst forecasts of a draw. This followed mixed prior reports, including a 2.5 million barrel build for the week ended July 31. Key drivers include refinery crude runs, seasonal demand shifts post-summer, and net import trends, with EIA forecasting inventories staying below the five-year average through year-end due to strong exports. The next weekly EIA releases on August 19 and 26 represent the primary catalysts that could shift market-implied odds on the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$49,133 Vol.
285 Mio.
69%
270 Mio.
2%
255 Mio.
1%
240 Mio.
1%
225 Mio.
1%
$49,133 Vol.
285 Mio.
69%
270 Mio.
2%
255 Mio.
1%
240 Mio.
1%
225 Mio.
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent unexpected builds in U.S. commercial crude oil inventories have introduced volatility ahead of the August 28 resolution. EIA data for the week ended August 7 showed a 17.4 million barrel rise to 424.4 million barrels, driven by higher imports and lower exports, contrary to analyst forecasts of a draw. This followed mixed prior reports, including a 2.5 million barrel build for the week ended July 31. Key drivers include refinery crude runs, seasonal demand shifts post-summer, and net import trends, with EIA forecasting inventories staying below the five-year average through year-end due to strong exports. The next weekly EIA releases on August 19 and 26 represent the primary catalysts that could shift market-implied odds on the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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