Venezuela’s crude oil production has risen to approximately 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in early 2026, supported by expanded U.S. Treasury licenses that permit additional traders and joint ventures to export heavy crude, easing prior storage constraints and enabling PDVSA to ramp output. This rebound follows political shifts that reduced sanctions pressure, allowing Chevron and other operators to increase flows toward pre-blockade levels near 1.2 million barrels per day by mid-year. Market-implied odds on higher 2026 targets reflect expectations for sustained infrastructure repairs and foreign capital inflows, though analysts note that reaching 1.5 million barrels per day or more would require consistent policy stability and billions in upstream investment. Key near-term catalysts include further licensing expansions and quarterly production data releases that could shift trader sentiment on recovery momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$110,934 Vol.
28. Feb. 2027
1,1 Mio.
98%
1,2 Mio.
74%
1,3 Mio.
43%
1,4 Mio.
17%
1,5 Mio.
7%
1,7 Mio.
3%
2 Mio.
4%
$110,934 Vol.
1,1 Mio.
$14,523 Vol.
98%
1,2 Mio.
$9,215 Vol.
74%
1,3 Mio.
$6,895 Vol.
43%
1,4 Mio.
$16,833 Vol.
17%
1,5 Mio.
$7,998 Vol.
7%
1,7 Mio.
$3,757 Vol.
3%
2 Mio.
$12,636 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuela’s crude oil production has risen to approximately 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in early 2026, supported by expanded U.S. Treasury licenses that permit additional traders and joint ventures to export heavy crude, easing prior storage constraints and enabling PDVSA to ramp output. This rebound follows political shifts that reduced sanctions pressure, allowing Chevron and other operators to increase flows toward pre-blockade levels near 1.2 million barrels per day by mid-year. Market-implied odds on higher 2026 targets reflect expectations for sustained infrastructure repairs and foreign capital inflows, though analysts note that reaching 1.5 million barrels per day or more would require consistent policy stability and billions in upstream investment. Key near-term catalysts include further licensing expansions and quarterly production data releases that could shift trader sentiment on recovery momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volumen
$110,934Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuela’s crude oil production has risen to approximately 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in early 2026, supported by expanded U.S. Treasury licenses that permit additional traders and joint ventures to export heavy crude, easing prior storage constraints and enabling PDVSA to ramp output. This rebound follows political shifts that reduced sanctions pressure, allowing Chevron and other operators to increase flows toward pre-blockade levels near 1.2 million barrels per day by mid-year. Market-implied odds on higher 2026 targets reflect expectations for sustained infrastructure repairs and foreign capital inflows, though analysts note that reaching 1.5 million barrels per day or more would require consistent policy stability and billions in upstream investment. Key near-term catalysts include further licensing expansions and quarterly production data releases that could shift trader sentiment on recovery momentum.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volumen
$110,934Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuela’s crude oil production has risen to approximately 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day in early 2026, supported by expanded U.S. Treasury licenses that permit additional traders and joint ventures to export heavy crude, easing prior storage constraints and enabling PDVSA to ramp output. This rebound follows political shifts that reduced sanctions pressure, allowing Chevron and other operators to increase flows toward pre-blockade levels near 1.2 million barrels per day by mid-year. Market-implied odds on higher 2026 targets reflect expectations for sustained infrastructure repairs and foreign capital inflows, though analysts note that reaching 1.5 million barrels per day or more would require consistent policy stability and billions in upstream investment. Key near-term catalysts include further licensing expansions and quarterly production data releases that could shift trader sentiment on recovery momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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