Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% for a U.S. invasion of any Latin American country in 2026, reflecting the absence of large-scale ground troop deployments or occupation plans amid official emphasis on targeted counter-cartel operations and diplomatic coalitions. The January intervention in Venezuela, involving Maduro's capture, is viewed as a limited special forces action rather than a full invasion, while March's Shield of the Americas Summit rallied hemispheric allies for joint military strikes against narco-terrorists without U.S. boots-on-ground commitments. Recent escalations—surges in U.S. spy flights off Cuba since February and Trump's tougher rhetoric—have sparked speculation, but Pentagon denials of invasion preparations and focus on sanctions sustain skepticism, with no major catalysts in the past week despite ongoing Havana tensions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$219,934 Vol.
$219,934 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$219,934 Vol.
$219,934 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% for a U.S. invasion of any Latin American country in 2026, reflecting the absence of large-scale ground troop deployments or occupation plans amid official emphasis on targeted counter-cartel operations and diplomatic coalitions. The January intervention in Venezuela, involving Maduro's capture, is viewed as a limited special forces action rather than a full invasion, while March's Shield of the Americas Summit rallied hemispheric allies for joint military strikes against narco-terrorists without U.S. boots-on-ground commitments. Recent escalations—surges in U.S. spy flights off Cuba since February and Trump's tougher rhetoric—have sparked speculation, but Pentagon denials of invasion preparations and focus on sanctions sustain skepticism, with no major catalysts in the past week despite ongoing Havana tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volumen
$219,934Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% for a U.S. invasion of any Latin American country in 2026, reflecting the absence of large-scale ground troop deployments or occupation plans amid official emphasis on targeted counter-cartel operations and diplomatic coalitions. The January intervention in Venezuela, involving Maduro's capture, is viewed as a limited special forces action rather than a full invasion, while March's Shield of the Americas Summit rallied hemispheric allies for joint military strikes against narco-terrorists without U.S. boots-on-ground commitments. Recent escalations—surges in U.S. spy flights off Cuba since February and Trump's tougher rhetoric—have sparked speculation, but Pentagon denials of invasion preparations and focus on sanctions sustain skepticism, with no major catalysts in the past week despite ongoing Havana tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volumen
$219,934Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% for a U.S. invasion of any Latin American country in 2026, reflecting the absence of large-scale ground troop deployments or occupation plans amid official emphasis on targeted counter-cartel operations and diplomatic coalitions. The January intervention in Venezuela, involving Maduro's capture, is viewed as a limited special forces action rather than a full invasion, while March's Shield of the Americas Summit rallied hemispheric allies for joint military strikes against narco-terrorists without U.S. boots-on-ground commitments. Recent escalations—surges in U.S. spy flights off Cuba since February and Trump's tougher rhetoric—have sparked speculation, but Pentagon denials of invasion preparations and focus on sanctions sustain skepticism, with no major catalysts in the past week despite ongoing Havana tensions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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