Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market as traders price in his prior service representing the district, superior name recognition, and first-place finish in the invalidated May 19 primary. Redistricting litigation has shifted the contest to an August 11 special primary featuring a narrower field that includes Carl alongside challengers such as Austin Sidwell and John Mills. This timeline and Carl’s established fundraising and organizational edge underpin the wide gap in implied probabilities, while lesser-known candidates trail amid limited recent polling or endorsements that could alter positioning before the special primary ballot is finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJerry Carl 82.5%
Rhett Marques 12.0%
Austin Sidwell 6.6%
John Mills 2.0%
$46,557 Vol.
$46,557 Vol.
Jerry Carl
83%
Rhett Marques
12%
Austin Sidwell
7%
John Mills
2%
James Richardson
1%
Joshua McKee
<1%
James Dees
<1%
Jerry Carl 82.5%
Rhett Marques 12.0%
Austin Sidwell 6.6%
John Mills 2.0%
$46,557 Vol.
$46,557 Vol.
Jerry Carl
83%
Rhett Marques
12%
Austin Sidwell
7%
John Mills
2%
James Richardson
1%
Joshua McKee
<1%
James Dees
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market as traders price in his prior service representing the district, superior name recognition, and first-place finish in the invalidated May 19 primary. Redistricting litigation has shifted the contest to an August 11 special primary featuring a narrower field that includes Carl alongside challengers such as Austin Sidwell and John Mills. This timeline and Carl’s established fundraising and organizational edge underpin the wide gap in implied probabilities, while lesser-known candidates trail amid limited recent polling or endorsements that could alter positioning before the special primary ballot is finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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