Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a substantial lead in Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, as reflected in trader consensus on Polymarket. Recent polls from April and May show Begich at 46-47 percent, ahead of challengers including Matt Schultz at 28-29 percent, with other Republican and Democratic candidates trailing further behind. Alaska’s nonpartisan primary advances the top four vote-getters to the November general election under ranked-choice voting, giving Begich a clear path to advance absent major late shifts in turnout or endorsements. No significant campaign developments have emerged in the past month to alter the positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlaska At-Large Primary Winners
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
Nick Begich III
94%
Matt Schultz
94%
Bill Hill
91%
Gavin Solomon
28%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
20%
John Williams
41%
$8,889 Vol.
Nick Begich III
$379 Vol.
94%
Matt Schultz
$235 Vol.
94%
Bill Hill
$2,288 Vol.
91%
Gavin Solomon
$2,167 Vol.
28%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
$2,195 Vol.
20%
John Williams
$1,624 Vol.
41%
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a substantial lead in Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, as reflected in trader consensus on Polymarket. Recent polls from April and May show Begich at 46-47 percent, ahead of challengers including Matt Schultz at 28-29 percent, with other Republican and Democratic candidates trailing further behind. Alaska’s nonpartisan primary advances the top four vote-getters to the November general election under ranked-choice voting, giving Begich a clear path to advance absent major late shifts in turnout or endorsements. No significant campaign developments have emerged in the past month to alter the positioning.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Volumen
$8,889Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a substantial lead in Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, as reflected in trader consensus on Polymarket. Recent polls from April and May show Begich at 46-47 percent, ahead of challengers including Matt Schultz at 28-29 percent, with other Republican and Democratic candidates trailing further behind. Alaska’s nonpartisan primary advances the top four vote-getters to the November general election under ranked-choice voting, giving Begich a clear path to advance absent major late shifts in turnout or endorsements. No significant campaign developments have emerged in the past month to alter the positioning.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volumen
$8,889Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III holds a substantial lead in Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, as reflected in trader consensus on Polymarket. Recent polls from April and May show Begich at 46-47 percent, ahead of challengers including Matt Schultz at 28-29 percent, with other Republican and Democratic candidates trailing further behind. Alaska’s nonpartisan primary advances the top four vote-getters to the November general election under ranked-choice voting, giving Begich a clear path to advance absent major late shifts in turnout or endorsements. No significant campaign developments have emerged in the past month to alter the positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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