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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 14.5%

Royce White 1.4%

David Hann <1%

Polymarket

$82,974 Vol.

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 14.5%

Royce White 1.4%

David Hann <1%

Polymarket

$82,974 Vol.

Michele Tafoya

$3,975 Vol.

78%

Adam Schwarze

$5,223 Vol.

14%

Royce White

$31,685 Vol.

1%

David Hann

$22,148 Vol.

1%

Alycia Gruenhagen

$4,853 Vol.

1%

Mike Ruoho

$1,205 Vol.

8%

Tom Weiler

$1,999 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Brooks

$1,433 Vol.

<1%

Jim Nash

$2,539 Vol.

<1%

Julia Coleman

$4,528 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$2,104 Vol.

<1%

Raymond Petersen

$1,284 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former ESPN sideline reporter Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 11, driven by her Q1 2026 fundraising haul of over $2 million—surpassing the entire GOP field combined—and internal polls showing a 30-point advantage among Republicans. National Republican Senatorial Committee backing and her competitive showings in general election hypotheticals against Democrats like Angie Craig bolster her as the establishment frontrunner capable of appealing to moderates in this open seat race. Adam Schwarze trails at 17% with strong activist support via straw poll wins and military credentials, while Mike Ruoho holds third at 10% amid base enthusiasm; state GOP endorsement battles could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$82,974
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former ESPN sideline reporter Michele Tafoya leads trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican U.S. Senate primary on August 11, driven by her Q1 2026 fundraising haul of over $2 million—surpassing the entire GOP field combined—and internal polls showing a 30-point advantage among Republicans. National Republican Senatorial Committee backing and her competitive showings in general election hypotheticals against Democrats like Angie Craig bolster her as the establishment frontrunner capable of appealing to moderates in this open seat race. Adam Schwarze trails at 17% with strong activist support via straw poll wins and military credentials, while Mike Ruoho holds third at 10% amid base enthusiasm; state GOP endorsement battles could shift dynamics ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$82,974
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Michele Tafoya" con 78%, seguido de "Adam Schwarze" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota" ha generado $83K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota" es "Michele Tafoya" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Adam Schwarze" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Minnesota" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.