The elevated procedural thresholds for STF justice removal, requiring initiation by the prosecutor general and approval by a two-thirds Senate majority, sustain trader consensus against any impeachment succeeding before 2027. Multiple opposition petitions targeting Alexandre de Moraes and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes over the Banco Master scandal have produced no advancement through Senate committees or floor votes as of mid-May 2026. Recent filings following Moraes's suspension of a sentencing law that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro's sentence have similarly stalled, consistent with historical patterns where no STF justice has ever been removed by impeachment. Senate leadership continuity and the absence of unified support across party lines reinforce the low likelihood of reaching the required supermajority in the remaining timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$70,800 Vol.
$70,800 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$70,800 Vol.
$70,800 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The elevated procedural thresholds for STF justice removal, requiring initiation by the prosecutor general and approval by a two-thirds Senate majority, sustain trader consensus against any impeachment succeeding before 2027. Multiple opposition petitions targeting Alexandre de Moraes and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes over the Banco Master scandal have produced no advancement through Senate committees or floor votes as of mid-May 2026. Recent filings following Moraes's suspension of a sentencing law that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro's sentence have similarly stalled, consistent with historical patterns where no STF justice has ever been removed by impeachment. Senate leadership continuity and the absence of unified support across party lines reinforce the low likelihood of reaching the required supermajority in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volumen
$70,800Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The elevated procedural thresholds for STF justice removal, requiring initiation by the prosecutor general and approval by a two-thirds Senate majority, sustain trader consensus against any impeachment succeeding before 2027. Multiple opposition petitions targeting Alexandre de Moraes and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes over the Banco Master scandal have produced no advancement through Senate committees or floor votes as of mid-May 2026. Recent filings following Moraes's suspension of a sentencing law that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro's sentence have similarly stalled, consistent with historical patterns where no STF justice has ever been removed by impeachment. Senate leadership continuity and the absence of unified support across party lines reinforce the low likelihood of reaching the required supermajority in the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$70,813Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The elevated procedural thresholds for STF justice removal, requiring initiation by the prosecutor general and approval by a two-thirds Senate majority, sustain trader consensus against any impeachment succeeding before 2027. Multiple opposition petitions targeting Alexandre de Moraes and a April 2026 congressional inquiry commission report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes over the Banco Master scandal have produced no advancement through Senate committees or floor votes as of mid-May 2026. Recent filings following Moraes's suspension of a sentencing law that could shorten Jair Bolsonaro's sentence have similarly stalled, consistent with historical patterns where no STF justice has ever been removed by impeachment. Senate leadership continuity and the absence of unified support across party lines reinforce the low likelihood of reaching the required supermajority in the remaining timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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