No formal criminal indictment or charging document has been filed against Bill Gates in any U.S. federal or state jurisdiction, leaving the market priced at a 97.1% probability of no charges by June 30. Ongoing congressional scrutiny over his documented Epstein ties, including scheduled testimony before a House committee on June 10, has generated headlines and foundation-level reviews but produced no prosecutorial action or grand-jury proceedings. DOJ document releases have surfaced emails and calendar entries without triggering indictments, aligning with historical patterns where public associations alone rarely yield charges absent direct evidence of criminal conduct. Trader consensus reflects the absence of active investigations or announced legal steps, though a surprise revelation during the June hearing or unrelated enforcement action could still shift probabilities before the resolution deadline.