Donald Trump’s established posting rhythm on Truth Social continues to shape trader expectations for the May 15–22 window. With daily output often exceeding twenty messages during active periods, market participants assign the highest probability to the 200+ bucket at 43 percent, followed closely by the 140–159 and 160–179 ranges. No major schedule changes, travel disruptions, or platform outages have altered this baseline in the past week, keeping volume projections anchored to recent patterns. Traders monitor upcoming public events and statements that typically trigger additional posts, while recognizing that any sustained slowdown could shift probability toward the mid-range outcomes now trading between 26 and 28 percent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDonald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth ¿Publicaciones en redes sociales del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?
200+ 58%
180-199 15.7%
160-179 14%
140-159 13%
$19,387 Vol.
$19,387 Vol.
22 may 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
4%
120-139
9%
140-159
21%
160-179
14%
180-199
16%
200+
51%
200+ 58%
180-199 15.7%
160-179 14%
140-159 13%
$19,387 Vol.
$19,387 Vol.
22 may 2026
60-79
$1,317 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$3,871 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$967 Vol.
4%
120-139
$1,084 Vol.
9%
140-159
$483 Vol.
21%
160-179
$352 Vol.
14%
180-199
$557 Vol.
16%
200+
$941 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump’s established posting rhythm on Truth Social continues to shape trader expectations for the May 15–22 window. With daily output often exceeding twenty messages during active periods, market participants assign the highest probability to the 200+ bucket at 43 percent, followed closely by the 140–159 and 160–179 ranges. No major schedule changes, travel disruptions, or platform outages have altered this baseline in the past week, keeping volume projections anchored to recent patterns. Traders monitor upcoming public events and statements that typically trigger additional posts, while recognizing that any sustained slowdown could shift probability toward the mid-range outcomes now trading between 26 and 28 percent.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$19,387Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Donald Trump’s established posting rhythm on Truth Social continues to shape trader expectations for the May 15–22 window. With daily output often exceeding twenty messages during active periods, market participants assign the highest probability to the 200+ bucket at 43 percent, followed closely by the 140–159 and 160–179 ranges. No major schedule changes, travel disruptions, or platform outages have altered this baseline in the past week, keeping volume projections anchored to recent patterns. Traders monitor upcoming public events and statements that typically trigger additional posts, while recognizing that any sustained slowdown could shift probability toward the mid-range outcomes now trading between 26 and 28 percent.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$19,387Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Donald Trump’s established posting rhythm on Truth Social continues to shape trader expectations for the May 15–22 window. With daily output often exceeding twenty messages during active periods, market participants assign the highest probability to the 200+ bucket at 43 percent, followed closely by the 140–159 and 160–179 ranges. No major schedule changes, travel disruptions, or platform outages have altered this baseline in the past week, keeping volume projections anchored to recent patterns. Traders monitor upcoming public events and statements that typically trigger additional posts, while recognizing that any sustained slowdown could shift probability toward the mid-range outcomes now trading between 26 and 28 percent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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