Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Ankara's September 22 high temperature likely settling near 24–25°C, reflecting the market's tight 33.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include daytime cloud cover, light northerly winds, and the city's urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C relative to surrounding rural areas. Recent model runs exhibit minor spread due to evolving upper-level patterns and surface moisture, typical for late-September transitional conditions when historical averages hover around 24°C. Updated high-resolution guidance expected overnight will clarify whether any strengthening southerly flow pushes readings toward 26°C or keeps them capped at 24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 22 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 22 de septiembre?
25°C 32%
24°C 31%
23°C 18%
26°C 16%
NUEVO
$17,439 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,439 Vol.
22 sep 2026
20°C o menos
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
31%
25°C
32%
26°C
16%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
25°C 32%
24°C 31%
23°C 18%
26°C 16%
NUEVO
$17,439 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,439 Vol.
22 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$1,253 Vol.
1%
21°C
$620 Vol.
2%
22°C
$765 Vol.
5%
23°C
$2,171 Vol.
18%
24°C
$3,034 Vol.
31%
25°C
$5,174 Vol.
32%
26°C
$2,902 Vol.
16%
27°C
$798 Vol.
1%
28°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Ankara's September 22 high temperature likely settling near 24–25°C, reflecting the market's tight 33.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include daytime cloud cover, light northerly winds, and the city's urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C relative to surrounding rural areas. Recent model runs exhibit minor spread due to evolving upper-level patterns and surface moisture, typical for late-September transitional conditions when historical averages hover around 24°C. Updated high-resolution guidance expected overnight will clarify whether any strengthening southerly flow pushes readings toward 26°C or keeps them capped at 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$17,439Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Ankara's September 22 high temperature likely settling near 24–25°C, reflecting the market's tight 33.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include daytime cloud cover, light northerly winds, and the city's urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C relative to surrounding rural areas. Recent model runs exhibit minor spread due to evolving upper-level patterns and surface moisture, typical for late-September transitional conditions when historical averages hover around 24°C. Updated high-resolution guidance expected overnight will clarify whether any strengthening southerly flow pushes readings toward 26°C or keeps them capped at 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,439Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Ankara's September 22 high temperature likely settling near 24–25°C, reflecting the market's tight 33.5% and 31.5% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include daytime cloud cover, light northerly winds, and the city's urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C relative to surrounding rural areas. Recent model runs exhibit minor spread due to evolving upper-level patterns and surface moisture, typical for late-September transitional conditions when historical averages hover around 24°C. Updated high-resolution guidance expected overnight will clarify whether any strengthening southerly flow pushes readings toward 26°C or keeps them capped at 24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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