Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Beijing's peak temperature on June 18, with most guidance clustering between 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity. Subtle differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing, afternoon solar insolation under variable high clouds, and localized urban heat island effects help explain why traders assign the narrowest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C. Official observations from Beijing stations will resolve the market using the daily maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration, and any late adjustments to moisture advection or wind speeds could shift the outcome within this narrow band before the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 18 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 18 de junio?
32°C 35%
31°C 32%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
$39,680 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,680 Vol.
18 jun 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
32%
32°C
35%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 32%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
$39,680 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,680 Vol.
18 jun 2026
26°C or below
$4,450 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,691 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,662 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,502 Vol.
10%
30°C
$2,623 Vol.
19%
31°C
$2,685 Vol.
32%
32°C
$8,247 Vol.
35%
33°C
$5,761 Vol.
8%
34°C
$3,670 Vol.
1%
35°C
$2,246 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$3,152 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Beijing's peak temperature on June 18, with most guidance clustering between 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity. Subtle differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing, afternoon solar insolation under variable high clouds, and localized urban heat island effects help explain why traders assign the narrowest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C. Official observations from Beijing stations will resolve the market using the daily maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration, and any late adjustments to moisture advection or wind speeds could shift the outcome within this narrow band before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$39,680Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Beijing's peak temperature on June 18, with most guidance clustering between 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity. Subtle differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing, afternoon solar insolation under variable high clouds, and localized urban heat island effects help explain why traders assign the narrowest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C. Official observations from Beijing stations will resolve the market using the daily maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration, and any late adjustments to moisture advection or wind speeds could shift the outcome within this narrow band before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$39,680Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Beijing's peak temperature on June 18, with most guidance clustering between 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate humidity. Subtle differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing, afternoon solar insolation under variable high clouds, and localized urban heat island effects help explain why traders assign the narrowest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C. Official observations from Beijing stations will resolve the market using the daily maximum reported by the China Meteorological Administration, and any late adjustments to moisture advection or wind speeds could shift the outcome within this narrow band before the period closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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