Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows Helsinki maximum temperatures on June 17 likely peaking near 18–20 °C under variable cloud cover and modest warm advection from the south. This narrow range explains why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 19 °C and 20 °C. Persistent low-level stratus or showers could suppress readings toward 17–18 °C, while clearer breaks and stronger southerly flow would favor the upper end of that envelope. Historical June maxima average near 19 °C, providing a climatological anchor. Updated high-resolution runs and FMI nowcasts through June 16–17 remain the key catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on June 17?
19°C 33%
20°C 26%
21°C 16%
18°C 16%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
33%
20°C
26%
21°C
16%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 33%
20°C 26%
21°C 16%
18°C 16%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
33%
20°C
26%
21°C
16%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows Helsinki maximum temperatures on June 17 likely peaking near 18–20 °C under variable cloud cover and modest warm advection from the south. This narrow range explains why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 19 °C and 20 °C. Persistent low-level stratus or showers could suppress readings toward 17–18 °C, while clearer breaks and stronger southerly flow would favor the upper end of that envelope. Historical June maxima average near 19 °C, providing a climatological anchor. Updated high-resolution runs and FMI nowcasts through June 16–17 remain the key catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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