Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 indicate thundery showers and high humidity, with official model guidance centering daytime maxima around 28–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall, driven by monsoon moisture and weak steering flow, are expected to limit surface heating and cap peaks below the June climatological average of 30–31°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on shower timing, intensity, and localized clearing: earlier or heavier precipitation favors 28°C, while delayed or lighter activity could allow brief warming to 29–30°C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in these variables, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly temperature trace reported by local stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 36%
28°C 30%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
30%
29°C
36%
30°C
23%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
28°C 30%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
30%
29°C
36%
30°C
23%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 indicate thundery showers and high humidity, with official model guidance centering daytime maxima around 28–29°C. Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall, driven by monsoon moisture and weak steering flow, are expected to limit surface heating and cap peaks below the June climatological average of 30–31°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on shower timing, intensity, and localized clearing: earlier or heavier precipitation favors 28°C, while delayed or lighter activity could allow brief warming to 29–30°C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in these variables, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly temperature trace reported by local stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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