The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated June 14, projects a 26–29°C range for June 15 under an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough, with mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This setup favors 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C, consistent with multi-model consensus and seasonal norms of 30–31°C highs moderated by high humidity (80–95%) and reduced insolation. Above-normal June temperatures expected from long-term warming trends are tempered here by the unsettled pattern, with traders monitoring any model shifts in steering flow or rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 45%
28°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
$12,560 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,560 Vol.
15 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
25%
29°C
45%
30°C
18%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 45%
28°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
$12,560 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,560 Vol.
15 jun 2026
23°C or below
$934 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$586 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,423 Vol.
8%
28°C
$1,352 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,398 Vol.
45%
30°C
$2,043 Vol.
18%
31°C
$1,419 Vol.
4%
32°C
$667 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$608 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated June 14, projects a 26–29°C range for June 15 under an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough, with mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This setup favors 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C, consistent with multi-model consensus and seasonal norms of 30–31°C highs moderated by high humidity (80–95%) and reduced insolation. Above-normal June temperatures expected from long-term warming trends are tempered here by the unsettled pattern, with traders monitoring any model shifts in steering flow or rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$12,560Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated June 14, projects a 26–29°C range for June 15 under an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough, with mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This setup favors 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C, consistent with multi-model consensus and seasonal norms of 30–31°C highs moderated by high humidity (80–95%) and reduced insolation. Above-normal June temperatures expected from long-term warming trends are tempered here by the unsettled pattern, with traders monitoring any model shifts in steering flow or rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,560Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated June 14, projects a 26–29°C range for June 15 under an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough, with mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This setup favors 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C, consistent with multi-model consensus and seasonal norms of 30–31°C highs moderated by high humidity (80–95%) and reduced insolation. Above-normal June temperatures expected from long-term warming trends are tempered here by the unsettled pattern, with traders monitoring any model shifts in steering flow or rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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