Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate a ridge of high pressure building over western Europe, favoring warm-air advection from the south and limited cloud cover that supports peak temperatures near 32–33°C in Paris on June 17. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 31–34°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Trader consensus, shown in nearly even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C, mirrors this narrow forecast range while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 17?
32°C 32%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
30°C 8.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
28%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
33°C 28%
31°C 20%
30°C 8.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
27°C or below
$85 Vol.
1%
28°C
$55 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$108 Vol.
9%
31°C
$447 Vol.
20%
32°C
$381 Vol.
32%
33°C
$59 Vol.
28%
34°C
$261 Vol.
8%
35°C
$147 Vol.
2%
36°C
$40 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$50 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate a ridge of high pressure building over western Europe, favoring warm-air advection from the south and limited cloud cover that supports peak temperatures near 32–33°C in Paris on June 17. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 31–34°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Trader consensus, shown in nearly even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C, mirrors this narrow forecast range while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,520Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate a ridge of high pressure building over western Europe, favoring warm-air advection from the south and limited cloud cover that supports peak temperatures near 32–33°C in Paris on June 17. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 31–34°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Trader consensus, shown in nearly even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C, mirrors this narrow forecast range while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,520Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate a ridge of high pressure building over western Europe, favoring warm-air advection from the south and limited cloud cover that supports peak temperatures near 32–33°C in Paris on June 17. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 31–34°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability and uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Trader consensus, shown in nearly even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C, mirrors this narrow forecast range while discounting lower-probability cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes