Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 point to persistent cloud cover and rain associated with the early tsuyu rainy season, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with the market’s near-even split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, timing of any breaks in precipitation, and modest sea-breeze effects typical for Tokyo. Historical mid-June data show similar overcast periods often cap highs 4–6°C below seasonal normals around 26°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observations, with the next JMA update expected to refine the exact peak before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
23°C 17%
20°C 5%
$22,091 Vol.
$22,091 Vol.
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
17%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
23°C 17%
20°C 5%
$22,091 Vol.
$22,091 Vol.
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
17%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 point to persistent cloud cover and rain associated with the early tsuyu rainy season, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near 20–22°C. This aligns closely with the market’s near-even split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on cloud thickness, timing of any breaks in precipitation, and modest sea-breeze effects typical for Tokyo. Historical mid-June data show similar overcast periods often cap highs 4–6°C below seasonal normals around 26°C. Resolution hinges on official Tokyo observations, with the next JMA update expected to refine the exact peak before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes