Trader consensus in the Denver highest-temperature market reflects short-term NWS and NOAA model guidance showing a cooler-than-normal airmass, with highs likely peaking in the upper 60s to mid-70s rather than the June 14 climatological average of 83°F. Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers or afternoon instability are suppressing surface heating and limiting afternoon mixing. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 70–75°F bins captures genuine forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any late-day clearing that could add a few degrees. Historical analogs indicate such suppressed maxima occur when upslope flow or weak troughing overrides typical high-plains warming. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key variables that could shift final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on June 14?
74-75°F 26.3%
72-73°F 23.3%
70-71°F 23.0%
68-69°F 16%
$24,609 Vol.
$24,609 Vol.
65°F o menos
<1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 26.3%
72-73°F 23.3%
70-71°F 23.0%
68-69°F 16%
$24,609 Vol.
$24,609 Vol.
65°F o menos
<1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Denver highest-temperature market reflects short-term NWS and NOAA model guidance showing a cooler-than-normal airmass, with highs likely peaking in the upper 60s to mid-70s rather than the June 14 climatological average of 83°F. Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers or afternoon instability are suppressing surface heating and limiting afternoon mixing. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 70–75°F bins captures genuine forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and any late-day clearing that could add a few degrees. Historical analogs indicate such suppressed maxima occur when upslope flow or weak troughing overrides typical high-plains warming. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key variables that could shift final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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