**Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 68°F for Denver on June 15 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driven by an approaching frontal system and increased moisture.** This contrasts with the market's emphasis on 80-81°F (38.5% implied probability) near the seasonal normal of 82-83°F, suggesting traders weigh model revisions, potential forecast warming, or resolution at official stations like Buckley Space Force Base where actual highs often run warmer than initial outlooks. Key variables include steering winds, cloud cover reducing solar heating, and convective activity that could cap temperatures below the 85°F+ range (under 7% combined odds). Historical June variability and the narrow 24-hour window to resolution amplify uncertainty, with upcoming model runs and NWS updates likely to refine the skin-in-the-game consensus around mid-70s to low-80s outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on June 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on June 15?
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19.7%
76-77°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19.7%
76-77°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
69°F or below
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$27 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$364 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$176 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$163 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$402 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$227 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$113 Vol.
20%
84-85°F
$125 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$339 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$299 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 68°F for Denver on June 15 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driven by an approaching frontal system and increased moisture.** This contrasts with the market's emphasis on 80-81°F (38.5% implied probability) near the seasonal normal of 82-83°F, suggesting traders weigh model revisions, potential forecast warming, or resolution at official stations like Buckley Space Force Base where actual highs often run warmer than initial outlooks. Key variables include steering winds, cloud cover reducing solar heating, and convective activity that could cap temperatures below the 85°F+ range (under 7% combined odds). Historical June variability and the narrow 24-hour window to resolution amplify uncertainty, with upcoming model runs and NWS updates likely to refine the skin-in-the-game consensus around mid-70s to low-80s outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$3,331Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 68°F for Denver on June 15 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driven by an approaching frontal system and increased moisture.** This contrasts with the market's emphasis on 80-81°F (38.5% implied probability) near the seasonal normal of 82-83°F, suggesting traders weigh model revisions, potential forecast warming, or resolution at official stations like Buckley Space Force Base where actual highs often run warmer than initial outlooks. Key variables include steering winds, cloud cover reducing solar heating, and convective activity that could cap temperatures below the 85°F+ range (under 7% combined odds). Historical June variability and the narrow 24-hour window to resolution amplify uncertainty, with upcoming model runs and NWS updates likely to refine the skin-in-the-game consensus around mid-70s to low-80s outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,331Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 68°F for Denver on June 15 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, driven by an approaching frontal system and increased moisture.** This contrasts with the market's emphasis on 80-81°F (38.5% implied probability) near the seasonal normal of 82-83°F, suggesting traders weigh model revisions, potential forecast warming, or resolution at official stations like Buckley Space Force Base where actual highs often run warmer than initial outlooks. Key variables include steering winds, cloud cover reducing solar heating, and convective activity that could cap temperatures below the 85°F+ range (under 7% combined odds). Historical June variability and the narrow 24-hour window to resolution amplify uncertainty, with upcoming model runs and NWS updates likely to refine the skin-in-the-game consensus around mid-70s to low-80s outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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