Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 24°C in London on June 15 under largely dry conditions with variable cloud and sunny intervals, edging temperatures slightly above recent norms after a cooler early June. Ensemble model spreads and local factors such as afternoon cloud build-up or light winds create tight uncertainty between 22°C and 24°C outcomes, aligning with the near-even market split at 29.5% for 22°C and 31.0% for 23°C. Historical mid-June averages near 19–21°C provide context, while the modest probability on 24°C or higher captures upside potential from clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on June 15?
Highest temperature in London on June 15?
23°C 31%
22°C 30%
24°C or higher 23.1%
21°C 10%
NUEVO
$15,531 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,531 Vol.
15 jun 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
31%
24°C or higher
23%
23°C 31%
22°C 30%
24°C or higher 23.1%
21°C 10%
NUEVO
$15,531 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,531 Vol.
15 jun 2026
14°C or below
$473 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$519 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,144 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,385 Vol.
2%
20°C
$2,297 Vol.
4%
21°C
$1,945 Vol.
10%
22°C
$2,077 Vol.
30%
23°C
$2,001 Vol.
31%
24°C or higher
$3,126 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 24°C in London on June 15 under largely dry conditions with variable cloud and sunny intervals, edging temperatures slightly above recent norms after a cooler early June. Ensemble model spreads and local factors such as afternoon cloud build-up or light winds create tight uncertainty between 22°C and 24°C outcomes, aligning with the near-even market split at 29.5% for 22°C and 31.0% for 23°C. Historical mid-June averages near 19–21°C provide context, while the modest probability on 24°C or higher captures upside potential from clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$15,531Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 24°C in London on June 15 under largely dry conditions with variable cloud and sunny intervals, edging temperatures slightly above recent norms after a cooler early June. Ensemble model spreads and local factors such as afternoon cloud build-up or light winds create tight uncertainty between 22°C and 24°C outcomes, aligning with the near-even market split at 29.5% for 22°C and 31.0% for 23°C. Historical mid-June averages near 19–21°C provide context, while the modest probability on 24°C or higher captures upside potential from clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,531Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 24°C in London on June 15 under largely dry conditions with variable cloud and sunny intervals, edging temperatures slightly above recent norms after a cooler early June. Ensemble model spreads and local factors such as afternoon cloud build-up or light winds create tight uncertainty between 22°C and 24°C outcomes, aligning with the near-even market split at 29.5% for 22°C and 31.0% for 23°C. Historical mid-June averages near 19–21°C provide context, while the modest probability on 24°C or higher captures upside potential from clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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