Traders have converged on 15–17°C as the most probable maximum for Cape Town on June 15, with 16°C leading at 46% implied probability, because short-range ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and the South African Weather Service consistently projects daytime highs near the seasonal June average of 17–18°C. Current synoptic conditions feature a moderate Atlantic high-pressure ridge delivering light easterly to northerly flow, limiting daytime warming while preventing significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that could drop readings to 14°C or below. Recent model runs show only minor spread, with most solutions clustering between 15–17°C and little evidence of rapid intensification or clearing that would push temperatures higher. Updated SAWS guidance issued on June 14 reinforces this narrow range, keeping probabilities tightly focused on the central outcomes ahead of the final observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 15 de junio?
16°C 46%
17°C 28%
15°C 25%
18°C 3.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
25%
16°C
46%
17°C
28%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
16°C 46%
17°C 28%
15°C 25%
18°C 3.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
11°C o menos
$179 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$714 Vol.
2%
15°C
$505 Vol.
25%
16°C
$497 Vol.
46%
17°C
$294 Vol.
28%
18°C
$928 Vol.
3%
19°C
$486 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$486 Vol.
<1%
21°C o más
$769 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 15–17°C as the most probable maximum for Cape Town on June 15, with 16°C leading at 46% implied probability, because short-range ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and the South African Weather Service consistently projects daytime highs near the seasonal June average of 17–18°C. Current synoptic conditions feature a moderate Atlantic high-pressure ridge delivering light easterly to northerly flow, limiting daytime warming while preventing significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that could drop readings to 14°C or below. Recent model runs show only minor spread, with most solutions clustering between 15–17°C and little evidence of rapid intensification or clearing that would push temperatures higher. Updated SAWS guidance issued on June 14 reinforces this narrow range, keeping probabilities tightly focused on the central outcomes ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$5,286Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 15–17°C as the most probable maximum for Cape Town on June 15, with 16°C leading at 46% implied probability, because short-range ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and the South African Weather Service consistently projects daytime highs near the seasonal June average of 17–18°C. Current synoptic conditions feature a moderate Atlantic high-pressure ridge delivering light easterly to northerly flow, limiting daytime warming while preventing significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that could drop readings to 14°C or below. Recent model runs show only minor spread, with most solutions clustering between 15–17°C and little evidence of rapid intensification or clearing that would push temperatures higher. Updated SAWS guidance issued on June 14 reinforces this narrow range, keeping probabilities tightly focused on the central outcomes ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,286Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 15–17°C as the most probable maximum for Cape Town on June 15, with 16°C leading at 46% implied probability, because short-range ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and the South African Weather Service consistently projects daytime highs near the seasonal June average of 17–18°C. Current synoptic conditions feature a moderate Atlantic high-pressure ridge delivering light easterly to northerly flow, limiting daytime warming while preventing significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that could drop readings to 14°C or below. Recent model runs show only minor spread, with most solutions clustering between 15–17°C and little evidence of rapid intensification or clearing that would push temperatures higher. Updated SAWS guidance issued on June 14 reinforces this narrow range, keeping probabilities tightly focused on the central outcomes ahead of the final observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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