Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on June 15 points to a high in the low-to-mid 80s, well below the mid-90s seasonal normal, as the primary driver of the closely matched 82–83°F (34%) and 84–85°F (26.5%) market-implied odds. Increased low-level moisture and scattered afternoon convection are expected to limit insolation and cap temperatures, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and coverage. These factors differentiate the narrow bins more than broader climatological trends, as even modest changes in boundary-layer humidity or steering flow can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Traders are weighting the latest short-range runs heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
NUEVO
$11,285 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,285 Vol.
15 jun 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
NUEVO
$11,285 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,285 Vol.
15 jun 2026
73°F or below
$119 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$257 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$220 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$661 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$591 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$719 Vol.
35%
84-85°F
$684 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$1,370 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$793 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$3,460 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$2,681 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on June 15 points to a high in the low-to-mid 80s, well below the mid-90s seasonal normal, as the primary driver of the closely matched 82–83°F (34%) and 84–85°F (26.5%) market-implied odds. Increased low-level moisture and scattered afternoon convection are expected to limit insolation and cap temperatures, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and coverage. These factors differentiate the narrow bins more than broader climatological trends, as even modest changes in boundary-layer humidity or steering flow can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Traders are weighting the latest short-range runs heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$11,285Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on June 15 points to a high in the low-to-mid 80s, well below the mid-90s seasonal normal, as the primary driver of the closely matched 82–83°F (34%) and 84–85°F (26.5%) market-implied odds. Increased low-level moisture and scattered afternoon convection are expected to limit insolation and cap temperatures, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and coverage. These factors differentiate the narrow bins more than broader climatological trends, as even modest changes in boundary-layer humidity or steering flow can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Traders are weighting the latest short-range runs heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,285Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on June 15 points to a high in the low-to-mid 80s, well below the mid-90s seasonal normal, as the primary driver of the closely matched 82–83°F (34%) and 84–85°F (26.5%) market-implied odds. Increased low-level moisture and scattered afternoon convection are expected to limit insolation and cap temperatures, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and coverage. These factors differentiate the narrow bins more than broader climatological trends, as even modest changes in boundary-layer humidity or steering flow can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Traders are weighting the latest short-range runs heavily ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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