**Recent forecasts for Helsinki on June 15, 2026, cluster around daily maxima of 14–18°C, directly explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C outcomes (roughly 85% combined).** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models referenced by Met Office and BBC indicate a high near 17°C under broken clouds or light showers, with light easterly or southerly winds and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average highs rise from about 16°C to 19°C amid moderate Baltic Sea influence that caps rapid warming. Current conditions on June 14 hover near 14–15°C, providing a cool starting point that limits upside potential absent a sharp ridge or clear-sky heating. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal risk of reaching 19°C or above (only 11.5% + 1.6% implied) or dropping to 15°C or below (under 3%). Upcoming afternoon updates from NHC-style regional ensembles and FMI briefings will refine the exact peak, but the stable pattern supports the current market weighting toward 17°C as the modal outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on June 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 15?
17°C 41%
18°C 30%
16°C 17%
19°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
17%
17°C
41%
18°C
30%
19°C
12%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 41%
18°C 30%
16°C 17%
19°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
11°C or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$797 Vol.
1%
15°C
$806 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,356 Vol.
17%
17°C
$588 Vol.
41%
18°C
$642 Vol.
30%
19°C
$755 Vol.
12%
20°C
$773 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Helsinki on June 15, 2026, cluster around daily maxima of 14–18°C, directly explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C outcomes (roughly 85% combined).**
Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models referenced by Met Office and BBC indicate a high near 17°C under broken clouds or light showers, with light easterly or southerly winds and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average highs rise from about 16°C to 19°C amid moderate Baltic Sea influence that caps rapid warming. Current conditions on June 14 hover near 14–15°C, providing a cool starting point that limits upside potential absent a sharp ridge or clear-sky heating.
Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal risk of reaching 19°C or above (only 11.5% + 1.6% implied) or dropping to 15°C or below (under 3%). Upcoming afternoon updates from NHC-style regional ensembles and FMI briefings will refine the exact peak, but the stable pattern supports the current market weighting toward 17°C as the modal outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$7,741Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Helsinki on June 15, 2026, cluster around daily maxima of 14–18°C, directly explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C outcomes (roughly 85% combined).**
Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models referenced by Met Office and BBC indicate a high near 17°C under broken clouds or light showers, with light easterly or southerly winds and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average highs rise from about 16°C to 19°C amid moderate Baltic Sea influence that caps rapid warming. Current conditions on June 14 hover near 14–15°C, providing a cool starting point that limits upside potential absent a sharp ridge or clear-sky heating.
Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal risk of reaching 19°C or above (only 11.5% + 1.6% implied) or dropping to 15°C or below (under 3%). Upcoming afternoon updates from NHC-style regional ensembles and FMI briefings will refine the exact peak, but the stable pattern supports the current market weighting toward 17°C as the modal outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,741Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Helsinki on June 15, 2026, cluster around daily maxima of 14–18°C, directly explaining why traders have concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C outcomes (roughly 85% combined).** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models referenced by Met Office and BBC indicate a high near 17°C under broken clouds or light showers, with light easterly or southerly winds and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average highs rise from about 16°C to 19°C amid moderate Baltic Sea influence that caps rapid warming. Current conditions on June 14 hover near 14–15°C, providing a cool starting point that limits upside potential absent a sharp ridge or clear-sky heating. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minimal risk of reaching 19°C or above (only 11.5% + 1.6% implied) or dropping to 15°C or below (under 3%). Upcoming afternoon updates from NHC-style regional ensembles and FMI briefings will refine the exact peak, but the stable pattern supports the current market weighting toward 17°C as the modal outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes