Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show Helsinki's June 14 maximum limited to 15°C by persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating. These conditions, consistent with official hourly observations reaching 15°C but no higher amid mostly cloudy skies and rain, explain traders' overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Historical June averages near 19°C provide context, yet the current cool maritime influence overrides typical seasonal warming. A sudden clearing trend or stronger insolation could still push readings to 16°C or above before day's end, though model consensus and live data make this unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on June 14?
15°C 99.4%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$27,538 Vol.
$27,538 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.4%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$27,538 Vol.
$27,538 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models show Helsinki's June 14 maximum limited to 15°C by persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating. These conditions, consistent with official hourly observations reaching 15°C but no higher amid mostly cloudy skies and rain, explain traders' overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Historical June averages near 19°C provide context, yet the current cool maritime influence overrides typical seasonal warming. A sudden clearing trend or stronger insolation could still push readings to 16°C or above before day's end, though model consensus and live data make this unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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