**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s June 17 high near 68°F under a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds gradually yielding to afternoon sun and moderate onshore westerly flow.** This pattern aligns with June climatology along the immediate coast, where the cold California Current and persistent stratus cap daytime warming. The market’s heaviest positioning on 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (31%) reflects trader assessment that slightly stronger solar heating or a modest reduction in cloud cover could add a couple of degrees once the marine layer thins, while the 27.5% on 68-69°F captures the risk that thicker stratus lingers. Official model guidance and recent hourly observations show limited warming potential today, keeping probabilities for 74°F+ below 8% and reinforcing the narrow 68-73°F window as the most likely resolution range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 17?
70-71°F 59%
72-73°F 44%
68-69°F 39%
74-75°F 4.9%
$63,457 Vol.
$63,457 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 59%
72-73°F 44%
68-69°F 39%
74-75°F 4.9%
$63,457 Vol.
$63,457 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s June 17 high near 68°F under a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds gradually yielding to afternoon sun and moderate onshore westerly flow.** This pattern aligns with June climatology along the immediate coast, where the cold California Current and persistent stratus cap daytime warming. The market’s heaviest positioning on 70-71°F (45%) and 72-73°F (31%) reflects trader assessment that slightly stronger solar heating or a modest reduction in cloud cover could add a couple of degrees once the marine layer thins, while the 27.5% on 68-69°F captures the risk that thicker stratus lingers. Official model guidance and recent hourly observations show limited warming potential today, keeping probabilities for 74°F+ below 8% and reinforcing the narrow 68-73°F window as the most likely resolution range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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