Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place Tokyo's mid-June daily highs near 24–26°C amid the tsuyu rainy season, aligning with the market's clustering around 25–27°C outcomes and historical averages near 26°C. Short-range model consensus and current steering patterns from the Pacific high support moderate temperatures, though variable cloud cover, localized showers, and potential ridge strengthening introduce 2–4°C uncertainty that spreads probability across cooler 24°C and warmer 28–29°C scenarios. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble spreads highlight how even minor shifts in frontal timing or insolation could tip the daily maximum, sustaining the broad distribution just 48 hours from resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
26°C 33%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
22%
26°C
33%
27°C
21%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
21°C or below
$232 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$28 Vol.
1%
23°C
$66 Vol.
3%
24°C
$62 Vol.
14%
25°C
$50 Vol.
22%
26°C
$20 Vol.
33%
27°C
$230 Vol.
21%
28°C
$181 Vol.
7%
29°C
$417 Vol.
7%
30°C
$27 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place Tokyo's mid-June daily highs near 24–26°C amid the tsuyu rainy season, aligning with the market's clustering around 25–27°C outcomes and historical averages near 26°C. Short-range model consensus and current steering patterns from the Pacific high support moderate temperatures, though variable cloud cover, localized showers, and potential ridge strengthening introduce 2–4°C uncertainty that spreads probability across cooler 24°C and warmer 28–29°C scenarios. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble spreads highlight how even minor shifts in frontal timing or insolation could tip the daily maximum, sustaining the broad distribution just 48 hours from resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$1,299Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place Tokyo's mid-June daily highs near 24–26°C amid the tsuyu rainy season, aligning with the market's clustering around 25–27°C outcomes and historical averages near 26°C. Short-range model consensus and current steering patterns from the Pacific high support moderate temperatures, though variable cloud cover, localized showers, and potential ridge strengthening introduce 2–4°C uncertainty that spreads probability across cooler 24°C and warmer 28–29°C scenarios. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble spreads highlight how even minor shifts in frontal timing or insolation could tip the daily maximum, sustaining the broad distribution just 48 hours from resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,299Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place Tokyo's mid-June daily highs near 24–26°C amid the tsuyu rainy season, aligning with the market's clustering around 25–27°C outcomes and historical averages near 26°C. Short-range model consensus and current steering patterns from the Pacific high support moderate temperatures, though variable cloud cover, localized showers, and potential ridge strengthening introduce 2–4°C uncertainty that spreads probability across cooler 24°C and warmer 28–29°C scenarios. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble spreads highlight how even minor shifts in frontal timing or insolation could tip the daily maximum, sustaining the broad distribution just 48 hours from resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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