Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from Météo-France and European centers show a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe, driving clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation that support a June 18 maximum near 35–36 °C in central Paris. Urban heat-island amplification and precise timing of the thermal peak create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, while minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or model physics explain the residual probability on adjacent values. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–00 UTC model runs most heavily, as further adjustments remain possible but are expected to stay within the current 34–37 °C envelope given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
13%
35°C
32%
36°C
38%
37°C
14%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
32°C or below
$891 Vol.
1%
33°C
$291 Vol.
4%
34°C
$317 Vol.
13%
35°C
$629 Vol.
32%
36°C
$417 Vol.
38%
37°C
$406 Vol.
14%
38°C
$893 Vol.
2%
39°C
$237 Vol.
1%
40°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$251 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from Météo-France and European centers show a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe, driving clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation that support a June 18 maximum near 35–36 °C in central Paris. Urban heat-island amplification and precise timing of the thermal peak create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, while minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or model physics explain the residual probability on adjacent values. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–00 UTC model runs most heavily, as further adjustments remain possible but are expected to stay within the current 34–37 °C envelope given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Volumen
$4,907Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from Météo-France and European centers show a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe, driving clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation that support a June 18 maximum near 35–36 °C in central Paris. Urban heat-island amplification and precise timing of the thermal peak create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, while minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or model physics explain the residual probability on adjacent values. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–00 UTC model runs most heavily, as further adjustments remain possible but are expected to stay within the current 34–37 °C envelope given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,907Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from Météo-France and European centers show a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe, driving clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime insolation that support a June 18 maximum near 35–36 °C in central Paris. Urban heat-island amplification and precise timing of the thermal peak create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, while minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or model physics explain the residual probability on adjacent values. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–00 UTC model runs most heavily, as further adjustments remain possible but are expected to stay within the current 34–37 °C envelope given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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