Forecast models from major centers show Munich under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and light easterly winds through June 18, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and a market-implied peak near 31°C. Trader consensus clusters on 30–32°C because ensemble guidance places the daily maximum in that narrow band, with 31°C carrying the highest implied probability at 30.5%. Minor spreads among runs arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any residual afternoon cloudiness, while climatological June averages near 22°C underscore the anomalously warm pattern. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold as resolution criteria tighten.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 18?
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 8.2%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
22%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
6%
31°C 31%
32°C 25%
30°C 22%
33°C 8.2%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
22%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major centers show Munich under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies and light easterly winds through June 18, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and a market-implied peak near 31°C. Trader consensus clusters on 30–32°C because ensemble guidance places the daily maximum in that narrow band, with 31°C carrying the highest implied probability at 30.5%. Minor spreads among runs arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any residual afternoon cloudiness, while climatological June averages near 22°C underscore the anomalously warm pattern. Updated model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold as resolution criteria tighten.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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