Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a daytime high in Moscow of 15–17°C on June 18, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities favoring those outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating, combined with a northerly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in predicted timing and coverage of precipitation, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places mid-June highs near 20–22°C, underscoring that this event sits below seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
16°C 35%
15°C 25%
17°C 24%
14°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
25%
16°C
35%
17°C
24%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 35%
15°C 25%
17°C 24%
14°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
12°C or below
$33 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$181 Vol.
4%
14°C
$217 Vol.
10%
15°C
$212 Vol.
25%
16°C
$374 Vol.
35%
17°C
$709 Vol.
24%
18°C
$614 Vol.
6%
19°C
$374 Vol.
2%
20°C
$494 Vol.
1%
21°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a daytime high in Moscow of 15–17°C on June 18, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities favoring those outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating, combined with a northerly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in predicted timing and coverage of precipitation, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places mid-June highs near 20–22°C, underscoring that this event sits below seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
Volumen
$3,331Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a daytime high in Moscow of 15–17°C on June 18, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities favoring those outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating, combined with a northerly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in predicted timing and coverage of precipitation, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places mid-June highs near 20–22°C, underscoring that this event sits below seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,331Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a daytime high in Moscow of 15–17°C on June 18, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities favoring those outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating, combined with a northerly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from small differences in predicted timing and coverage of precipitation, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical climatology places mid-June highs near 20–22°C, underscoring that this event sits below seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will likely refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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