Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate moderate highs for Chongqing on June 17 driven by lingering monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating. This setup produces trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 26–29°C, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation rather than a dominant heat dome or clear-sky ridge. Historical June climatology shows typical daily maxima of 28–32°C, but current steering patterns and regional humidity favor slight suppression below seasonal peaks. Updated CMA guidance and next model cycles through June 16 will provide the key signals for any shifts in market positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 17?
27°C 27%
28°C 21%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
25°C or below
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
27%
28°C
21%
29°C
18%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 27%
28°C 21%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
25°C or below
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
27%
28°C
21%
29°C
18%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model runs from sources including the ECMWF and GFS indicate moderate highs for Chongqing on June 17 driven by lingering monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating. This setup produces trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 26–29°C, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation rather than a dominant heat dome or clear-sky ridge. Historical June climatology shows typical daily maxima of 28–32°C, but current steering patterns and regional humidity favor slight suppression below seasonal peaks. Updated CMA guidance and next model cycles through June 16 will provide the key signals for any shifts in market positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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