Recent ensemble guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicates a daytime maximum near 24°C for Istanbul on June 18, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. Moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, combined with partial cloud cover and limited insolation under a weakening high-pressure ridge, is expected to suppress peak heating relative to seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated due to potential shifts in steering patterns or timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on the final model runs before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest consensus data heavily, as these short-range predictions carry high skill but still allow for modest upside or downside surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
32%
24°C
35%
25°C
17%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
25°C 17%
22°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
19°C or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$89 Vol.
32%
24°C
$104 Vol.
35%
25°C
$266 Vol.
17%
26°C
$116 Vol.
5%
27°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicates a daytime maximum near 24°C for Istanbul on June 18, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. Moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, combined with partial cloud cover and limited insolation under a weakening high-pressure ridge, is expected to suppress peak heating relative to seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated due to potential shifts in steering patterns or timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on the final model runs before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest consensus data heavily, as these short-range predictions carry high skill but still allow for modest upside or downside surprises.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Volumen
$1,278Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicates a daytime maximum near 24°C for Istanbul on June 18, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. Moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, combined with partial cloud cover and limited insolation under a weakening high-pressure ridge, is expected to suppress peak heating relative to seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated due to potential shifts in steering patterns or timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on the final model runs before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest consensus data heavily, as these short-range predictions carry high skill but still allow for modest upside or downside surprises.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,278Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble guidance from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicates a daytime maximum near 24°C for Istanbul on June 18, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes. Moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, combined with partial cloud cover and limited insolation under a weakening high-pressure ridge, is expected to suppress peak heating relative to seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated due to potential shifts in steering patterns or timing of any weak frontal passage, which could add or subtract 1–2°C depending on the final model runs before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest consensus data heavily, as these short-range predictions carry high skill but still allow for modest upside or downside surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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