Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows Milan under strengthening subtropical ridging, with 850 hPa temperatures supporting surface maxima near 33–34 °C on June 18 amid mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow. This setup favors efficient daytime heating in the Po Valley, where urban heat-island effects can add 1–2 °C locally. The tight market spread between 33 °C and 34 °C reflects small model divergences in boundary-layer mixing depth and residual moisture, which could trim or boost the peak by a degree. Historical mid-June climatology places normal highs near 27 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems directly from the persistent anticyclone rather than seasonal norms. Updated runs ahead of the 18th will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
34°C 41%
33°C 33%
35°C 18%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
10%
33°C
33%
34°C
41%
35°C
18%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 33%
35°C 18%
32°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
30°C or below
$401 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$856 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$541 Vol.
10%
33°C
$850 Vol.
33%
34°C
$518 Vol.
41%
35°C
$277 Vol.
18%
36°C
$312 Vol.
3%
37°C
$2,734 Vol.
1%
38°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows Milan under strengthening subtropical ridging, with 850 hPa temperatures supporting surface maxima near 33–34 °C on June 18 amid mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow. This setup favors efficient daytime heating in the Po Valley, where urban heat-island effects can add 1–2 °C locally. The tight market spread between 33 °C and 34 °C reflects small model divergences in boundary-layer mixing depth and residual moisture, which could trim or boost the peak by a degree. Historical mid-June climatology places normal highs near 27 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems directly from the persistent anticyclone rather than seasonal norms. Updated runs ahead of the 18th will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Volumen
$7,010Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows Milan under strengthening subtropical ridging, with 850 hPa temperatures supporting surface maxima near 33–34 °C on June 18 amid mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow. This setup favors efficient daytime heating in the Po Valley, where urban heat-island effects can add 1–2 °C locally. The tight market spread between 33 °C and 34 °C reflects small model divergences in boundary-layer mixing depth and residual moisture, which could trim or boost the peak by a degree. Historical mid-June climatology places normal highs near 27 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems directly from the persistent anticyclone rather than seasonal norms. Updated runs ahead of the 18th will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,010Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows Milan under strengthening subtropical ridging, with 850 hPa temperatures supporting surface maxima near 33–34 °C on June 18 amid mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow. This setup favors efficient daytime heating in the Po Valley, where urban heat-island effects can add 1–2 °C locally. The tight market spread between 33 °C and 34 °C reflects small model divergences in boundary-layer mixing depth and residual moisture, which could trim or boost the peak by a degree. Historical mid-June climatology places normal highs near 27 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems directly from the persistent anticyclone rather than seasonal norms. Updated runs ahead of the 18th will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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