Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on June 17 point to persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that are capping daily maximum temperatures near 28°C, driving the leading 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected by the Hong Kong Observatory reflect longer-term warming trends, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture from the summer monsoon trough currently favor lower peaks. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Hong Kong Observatory guidance through the next 48 hours, as shifts in cloud timing or wind could easily differentiate 28°C from 29°C or 30°C resolutions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
30°C 17%
27°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
14%
28°C
35%
29°C
32%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
30°C 17%
27°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 jun 2026
23°C or below
$49 Vol.
1%
24°C
$49 Vol.
1%
25°C
$49 Vol.
1%
26°C
$169 Vol.
2%
27°C
$124 Vol.
14%
28°C
$260 Vol.
35%
29°C
$123 Vol.
32%
30°C
$248 Vol.
17%
31°C
$46 Vol.
6%
32°C
$49 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$49 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on June 17 point to persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that are capping daily maximum temperatures near 28°C, driving the leading 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected by the Hong Kong Observatory reflect longer-term warming trends, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture from the summer monsoon trough currently favor lower peaks. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Hong Kong Observatory guidance through the next 48 hours, as shifts in cloud timing or wind could easily differentiate 28°C from 29°C or 30°C resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,165Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on June 17 point to persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that are capping daily maximum temperatures near 28°C, driving the leading 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected by the Hong Kong Observatory reflect longer-term warming trends, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture from the summer monsoon trough currently favor lower peaks. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Hong Kong Observatory guidance through the next 48 hours, as shifts in cloud timing or wind could easily differentiate 28°C from 29°C or 30°C resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,165Fecha de finalización
17 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on June 17 point to persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms that are capping daily maximum temperatures near 28°C, driving the leading 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the seasonal climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures projected by the Hong Kong Observatory reflect longer-term warming trends, yet short-term steering patterns and moisture from the summer monsoon trough currently favor lower peaks. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official Hong Kong Observatory guidance through the next 48 hours, as shifts in cloud timing or wind could easily differentiate 28°C from 29°C or 30°C resolutions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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