**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's highest temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, each priced at 36.5% implied probability.** This tight split reflects official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and Met Office showing daily maxima clustered around 23–26°C (roughly 73–79°F), consistent with June climatology of 25°C averages in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. Key drivers include the onset of the rainy season, which brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that often caps afternoon peaks through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. Model consensus highlights modest instability and light easterly flow, with limited warming potential from the subtropical ridge. Historical analogs show June highs rarely exceed 27°C without clear, dry conditions, explaining the low 8.9% on 27°C and sub-1% on 28°C+. Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on precise timing of any showers, urban heat island effects at the official measurement site, and exact peak-hour insolation under variable cloud decks—variables that keep probabilities nearly even as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 14 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 14 de junio?
25°C 37%
26°C 36%
27°C 9.2%
24°C 9%
$8,699 Vol.
$8,699 Vol.
14 jun 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
37%
26°C
36%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C o más
1%
25°C 37%
26°C 36%
27°C 9.2%
24°C 9%
$8,699 Vol.
$8,699 Vol.
14 jun 2026
19°C o menos
$239 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$812 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,284 Vol.
2%
24°C
$915 Vol.
9%
25°C
$388 Vol.
37%
26°C
$954 Vol.
36%
27°C
$1,284 Vol.
9%
28°C
$958 Vol.
2%
29°C o más
$319 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's highest temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, each priced at 36.5% implied probability.** This tight split reflects official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and Met Office showing daily maxima clustered around 23–26°C (roughly 73–79°F), consistent with June climatology of 25°C averages in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico.
Key drivers include the onset of the rainy season, which brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that often caps afternoon peaks through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. Model consensus highlights modest instability and light easterly flow, with limited warming potential from the subtropical ridge. Historical analogs show June highs rarely exceed 27°C without clear, dry conditions, explaining the low 8.9% on 27°C and sub-1% on 28°C+.
Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on precise timing of any showers, urban heat island effects at the official measurement site, and exact peak-hour insolation under variable cloud decks—variables that keep probabilities nearly even as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$8,699Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's highest temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, each priced at 36.5% implied probability.** This tight split reflects official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and Met Office showing daily maxima clustered around 23–26°C (roughly 73–79°F), consistent with June climatology of 25°C averages in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico.
Key drivers include the onset of the rainy season, which brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that often caps afternoon peaks through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. Model consensus highlights modest instability and light easterly flow, with limited warming potential from the subtropical ridge. Historical analogs show June highs rarely exceed 27°C without clear, dry conditions, explaining the low 8.9% on 27°C and sub-1% on 28°C+.
Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on precise timing of any showers, urban heat island effects at the official measurement site, and exact peak-hour insolation under variable cloud decks—variables that keep probabilities nearly even as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,699Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's highest temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, each priced at 36.5% implied probability.** This tight split reflects official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather, timeanddate, and Met Office showing daily maxima clustered around 23–26°C (roughly 73–79°F), consistent with June climatology of 25°C averages in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. Key drivers include the onset of the rainy season, which brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection that often caps afternoon peaks through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. Model consensus highlights modest instability and light easterly flow, with limited warming potential from the subtropical ridge. Historical analogs show June highs rarely exceed 27°C without clear, dry conditions, explaining the low 8.9% on 27°C and sub-1% on 28°C+. Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on precise timing of any showers, urban heat island effects at the official measurement site, and exact peak-hour insolation under variable cloud decks—variables that keep probabilities nearly even as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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