Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show moderate uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on June 16, with trader consensus centered on 26–28°C amid closely matched market odds. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns from a weakening high-pressure system, variable cloud cover, and possible localized showers that could suppress peak heating by 1–3°C compared to clearer scenarios. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but current observational trends and model spread—driven by evolving moisture transport and diurnal heating—support the balanced probabilities, with updated runs expected to refine outcomes before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de junio?
27°C 26%
28°C 23%
26°C 18%
25°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
26%
28°C
23%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C o más
2%
27°C 26%
28°C 23%
26°C 18%
25°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C o menos
$2,279 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,107 Vol.
2%
24°C
$207 Vol.
5%
25°C
$112 Vol.
12%
26°C
$98 Vol.
18%
27°C
$92 Vol.
26%
28°C
$223 Vol.
23%
29°C
$1,998 Vol.
9%
30°C
$330 Vol.
4%
31°C o más
$739 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show moderate uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on June 16, with trader consensus centered on 26–28°C amid closely matched market odds. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns from a weakening high-pressure system, variable cloud cover, and possible localized showers that could suppress peak heating by 1–3°C compared to clearer scenarios. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but current observational trends and model spread—driven by evolving moisture transport and diurnal heating—support the balanced probabilities, with updated runs expected to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$8,536Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show moderate uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on June 16, with trader consensus centered on 26–28°C amid closely matched market odds. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns from a weakening high-pressure system, variable cloud cover, and possible localized showers that could suppress peak heating by 1–3°C compared to clearer scenarios. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but current observational trends and model spread—driven by evolving moisture transport and diurnal heating—support the balanced probabilities, with updated runs expected to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,536Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show moderate uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on June 16, with trader consensus centered on 26–28°C amid closely matched market odds. Key differentiating factors include steering patterns from a weakening high-pressure system, variable cloud cover, and possible localized showers that could suppress peak heating by 1–3°C compared to clearer scenarios. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but current observational trends and model spread—driven by evolving moisture transport and diurnal heating—support the balanced probabilities, with updated runs expected to refine outcomes before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes