Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a daily maximum temperature in the mid to upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by a cool northwest air mass, light winds, and Lake Michigan moderation that limits inland warming. Official guidance shows sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs near 74–78°F, below the late-August climatological average of about 82°F. Lake-effect cooling and minimal warm advection keep readings clustered in the 76–79°F range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that place the strongest weight on 76–77°F and 78–79°F outcomes. No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, and the next NWS updates will refine any boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 24 de agosto?
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o menos
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o más
<1%
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o menos
$120 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$208 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$380 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$328 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$1,584 Vol.
52%
78-79°F
$222 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$266 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$149 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$83 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$155 Vol.
<1%
88°F o más
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a daily maximum temperature in the mid to upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by a cool northwest air mass, light winds, and Lake Michigan moderation that limits inland warming. Official guidance shows sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs near 74–78°F, below the late-August climatological average of about 82°F. Lake-effect cooling and minimal warm advection keep readings clustered in the 76–79°F range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that place the strongest weight on 76–77°F and 78–79°F outcomes. No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, and the next NWS updates will refine any boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$3,661Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a daily maximum temperature in the mid to upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by a cool northwest air mass, light winds, and Lake Michigan moderation that limits inland warming. Official guidance shows sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs near 74–78°F, below the late-August climatological average of about 82°F. Lake-effect cooling and minimal warm advection keep readings clustered in the 76–79°F range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that place the strongest weight on 76–77°F and 78–79°F outcomes. No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, and the next NWS updates will refine any boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,661Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a daily maximum temperature in the mid to upper 70s°F for Chicago on August 24, driven by a cool northwest air mass, light winds, and Lake Michigan moderation that limits inland warming. Official guidance shows sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs near 74–78°F, below the late-August climatological average of about 82°F. Lake-effect cooling and minimal warm advection keep readings clustered in the 76–79°F range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that place the strongest weight on 76–77°F and 78–79°F outcomes. No significant forecast shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, and the next NWS updates will refine any boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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