Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Thursday high near 78–80°F in Chicago, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler post-frontal air after Wednesday’s showers and storms. Lake Michigan moderation will likely cap readings in the mid-70s along the shoreline while inland areas approach 80°F, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin. This setup follows typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 81°F, though persistent cloud cover or stronger lake breezes could suppress peaks toward the 78–79°F range. Traders appear to weigh official airport observations against these localized effects, with limited upside risk from lingering model spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 27 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 27 de agosto?
80-81°F 55%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
73°F o menos
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
55%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 55%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
73°F o menos
$283 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$183 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$87 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$332 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$400 Vol.
55%
82-83°F
$399 Vol.
24%
84-85°F
$111 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$110 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$13 Vol.
<1%
92°F o más
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Thursday high near 78–80°F in Chicago, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler post-frontal air after Wednesday’s showers and storms. Lake Michigan moderation will likely cap readings in the mid-70s along the shoreline while inland areas approach 80°F, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin. This setup follows typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 81°F, though persistent cloud cover or stronger lake breezes could suppress peaks toward the 78–79°F range. Traders appear to weigh official airport observations against these localized effects, with limited upside risk from lingering model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$2,106Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Thursday high near 78–80°F in Chicago, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler post-frontal air after Wednesday’s showers and storms. Lake Michigan moderation will likely cap readings in the mid-70s along the shoreline while inland areas approach 80°F, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin. This setup follows typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 81°F, though persistent cloud cover or stronger lake breezes could suppress peaks toward the 78–79°F range. Traders appear to weigh official airport observations against these localized effects, with limited upside risk from lingering model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,106Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Thursday high near 78–80°F in Chicago, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler post-frontal air after Wednesday’s showers and storms. Lake Michigan moderation will likely cap readings in the mid-70s along the shoreline while inland areas approach 80°F, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin. This setup follows typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 81°F, though persistent cloud cover or stronger lake breezes could suppress peaks toward the 78–79°F range. Traders appear to weigh official airport observations against these localized effects, with limited upside risk from lingering model spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes