Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover for Chicago on August 28, supporting a daily high near the historical average of 81°F. Official point forecasts cluster in the upper 70s to low 80s inland, tempered by lake moderation, while ensemble runs show limited spread and low precipitation chances. This positions the 82-83°F bin as the consensus outcome, with adjacent ranges reflecting typical forecast uncertainty and potential station-specific readings at O’Hare. Traders appear to weigh these verified model trends heavily, as resolution depends on the highest verified temperature reported by the National Weather Service.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 28 de agosto?
82-83°F 55%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
75°F o menos
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
55%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
<1%
82-83°F 55%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
75°F o menos
$80 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$11 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$61 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$340 Vol.
17%
82-83°F
$490 Vol.
55%
84-85°F
$250 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$191 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$11 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$88 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$269 Vol.
<1%
94°F o más
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover for Chicago on August 28, supporting a daily high near the historical average of 81°F. Official point forecasts cluster in the upper 70s to low 80s inland, tempered by lake moderation, while ensemble runs show limited spread and low precipitation chances. This positions the 82-83°F bin as the consensus outcome, with adjacent ranges reflecting typical forecast uncertainty and potential station-specific readings at O’Hare. Traders appear to weigh these verified model trends heavily, as resolution depends on the highest verified temperature reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$2,061Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover for Chicago on August 28, supporting a daily high near the historical average of 81°F. Official point forecasts cluster in the upper 70s to low 80s inland, tempered by lake moderation, while ensemble runs show limited spread and low precipitation chances. This positions the 82-83°F bin as the consensus outcome, with adjacent ranges reflecting typical forecast uncertainty and potential station-specific readings at O’Hare. Traders appear to weigh these verified model trends heavily, as resolution depends on the highest verified temperature reported by the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,061Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover for Chicago on August 28, supporting a daily high near the historical average of 81°F. Official point forecasts cluster in the upper 70s to low 80s inland, tempered by lake moderation, while ensemble runs show limited spread and low precipitation chances. This positions the 82-83°F bin as the consensus outcome, with adjacent ranges reflecting typical forecast uncertainty and potential station-specific readings at O’Hare. Traders appear to weigh these verified model trends heavily, as resolution depends on the highest verified temperature reported by the National Weather Service.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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