Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's May 14 high temperature, with 29°C (22.5%), 28°C (20.5%), and 30°C (18.5%) leading amid an incoming rain system. Recent National Hurricane Center analogs aren't applicable here, but updated ensemble models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated in forecasts from AccuWeather and TimeandDate, project highs of 28-29°C under overcast skies and 91-95% precipitation probability, a drop from May 12's 31°C amid stray thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include potential breaks in persistent cloud cover allowing brief solar heating to push toward 30°C, versus widespread rain suppressing peaks near 28°C; high humidity (80%+) and light ESE winds further temper extremes. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this before resolution at Baiyun Airport station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 14 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 14 de mayo?
29°C 31%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
31°C 13.1%
NUEVO
$14,220 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,220 Vol.
14 may 2026
28°C
20%
29°C
31%
30°C
30%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C o más
<1%
29°C 31%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
31°C 13.1%
NUEVO
$14,220 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,220 Vol.
14 may 2026
28°C
$1,257 Vol.
20%
29°C
$882 Vol.
31%
30°C
$505 Vol.
30%
31°C
$633 Vol.
13%
32°C
$742 Vol.
3%
33°C
$756 Vol.
1%
34°C o más
$756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's May 14 high temperature, with 29°C (22.5%), 28°C (20.5%), and 30°C (18.5%) leading amid an incoming rain system. Recent National Hurricane Center analogs aren't applicable here, but updated ensemble models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated in forecasts from AccuWeather and TimeandDate, project highs of 28-29°C under overcast skies and 91-95% precipitation probability, a drop from May 12's 31°C amid stray thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include potential breaks in persistent cloud cover allowing brief solar heating to push toward 30°C, versus widespread rain suppressing peaks near 28°C; high humidity (80%+) and light ESE winds further temper extremes. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this before resolution at Baiyun Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$14,220Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's May 14 high temperature, with 29°C (22.5%), 28°C (20.5%), and 30°C (18.5%) leading amid an incoming rain system. Recent National Hurricane Center analogs aren't applicable here, but updated ensemble models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated in forecasts from AccuWeather and TimeandDate, project highs of 28-29°C under overcast skies and 91-95% precipitation probability, a drop from May 12's 31°C amid stray thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include potential breaks in persistent cloud cover allowing brief solar heating to push toward 30°C, versus widespread rain suppressing peaks near 28°C; high humidity (80%+) and light ESE winds further temper extremes. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this before resolution at Baiyun Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,220Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's May 14 high temperature, with 29°C (22.5%), 28°C (20.5%), and 30°C (18.5%) leading amid an incoming rain system. Recent National Hurricane Center analogs aren't applicable here, but updated ensemble models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated in forecasts from AccuWeather and TimeandDate, project highs of 28-29°C under overcast skies and 91-95% precipitation probability, a drop from May 12's 31°C amid stray thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include potential breaks in persistent cloud cover allowing brief solar heating to push toward 30°C, versus widespread rain suppressing peaks near 28°C; high humidity (80%+) and light ESE winds further temper extremes. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this before resolution at Baiyun Airport station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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