Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 17 de mayo?
10°C 34%
9°C 28%
11°C 22%
12°C o más 10%
2°C o menos
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
7%
9°C
27%
10°C
34%
11°C
28%
12°C o más
10%
10°C 34%
9°C 28%
11°C 22%
12°C o más 10%
2°C o menos
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
7%
9°C
27%
10°C
34%
11°C
28%
12°C o más
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBLatest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Paris’s nocturnal minimum on May 17 near 8–10 °C at Le Bourget Airport, the resolution station, under persistent overcast skies and a cool Atlantic air mass that limits daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight. This places the 10 °C outcome at the center of model consensus, with 9 °C and 11 °C brackets capturing the typical ensemble spread arising from small differences in cloud cover and wind speed. A modest ridge building from the southwest offers slight warming potential above 11 °C, while any deeper trough could push readings toward 8 °C; traders therefore price these three bins most heavily as the final 48-hour window approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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