Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance have converged on a Seoul overnight minimum of 14°C for May 17 under clear skies and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where official records show typical lows clustering between 12–16°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and limited moisture. Traders have driven the market-implied probability for exactly 14°C above 98 percent because incremental model runs continue to cluster tightly around this value, with negligible risk of warmer advection or thicker cloud cover. The primary uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud buildup, which could trap residual heat and nudge the low upward by 1–2°C before sunrise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 17 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 17 de mayo?
14°C 98.0%
13°C 2.0%
12°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
$12,083 Vol.
$12,083 Vol.
17 may 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
98%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
14°C 98.0%
13°C 2.0%
12°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
$12,083 Vol.
$12,083 Vol.
17 may 2026
12°C o menos
$798 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,033 Vol.
2%
14°C
$528 Vol.
98%
15°C
$844 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$591 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,717 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,018 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,987 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,403 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$812 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance have converged on a Seoul overnight minimum of 14°C for May 17 under clear skies and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where official records show typical lows clustering between 12–16°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and limited moisture. Traders have driven the market-implied probability for exactly 14°C above 98 percent because incremental model runs continue to cluster tightly around this value, with negligible risk of warmer advection or thicker cloud cover. The primary uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud buildup, which could trap residual heat and nudge the low upward by 1–2°C before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volumen
$12,083Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance have converged on a Seoul overnight minimum of 14°C for May 17 under clear skies and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where official records show typical lows clustering between 12–16°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and limited moisture. Traders have driven the market-implied probability for exactly 14°C above 98 percent because incremental model runs continue to cluster tightly around this value, with negligible risk of warmer advection or thicker cloud cover. The primary uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud buildup, which could trap residual heat and nudge the low upward by 1–2°C before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,083Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensemble guidance have converged on a Seoul overnight minimum of 14°C for May 17 under clear skies and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling. This outcome aligns with mid-May climatology, where official records show typical lows clustering between 12–16°C amid stable high-pressure patterns and limited moisture. Traders have driven the market-implied probability for exactly 14°C above 98 percent because incremental model runs continue to cluster tightly around this value, with negligible risk of warmer advection or thicker cloud cover. The primary uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud buildup, which could trap residual heat and nudge the low upward by 1–2°C before sunrise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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