The overwhelming market consensus on a 14°C low in Seoul stems from the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models projecting an overnight minimum of 14°C under mostly clear skies and light winds. Recent clear conditions following early May showers have promoted efficient radiative cooling, aligning with typical spring climatology where Seoul lows range 13–15°C. The urban heat island effect further supports this floor. Any increase in overnight cloud cover or wind could push readings to 15°C, while stronger cooling would be needed to reach 13°C or below. Traders await final KMA station observations for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 16 de mayo?
14°C 99.4%
13°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
19°C <1%
$38,258 Vol.
$38,258 Vol.
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
14°C 99.4%
13°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
19°C <1%
$38,258 Vol.
$38,258 Vol.
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe overwhelming market consensus on a 14°C low in Seoul stems from the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ECMWF ensemble models projecting an overnight minimum of 14°C under mostly clear skies and light winds. Recent clear conditions following early May showers have promoted efficient radiative cooling, aligning with typical spring climatology where Seoul lows range 13–15°C. The urban heat island effect further supports this floor. Any increase in overnight cloud cover or wind could push readings to 15°C, while stronger cooling would be needed to reach 13°C or below. Traders await final KMA station observations for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes