Hong Kong Observatory observations as of mid-afternoon on May 13 confirm the site's air temperature reached 31°C at 4 p.m. HKT amid sunny skies and low humidity around 65%, locking in the maximum well above the 31°C threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This aligns with seasonal forecasts from the Observatory predicting normal to above-normal temperatures for May, supported by persistent high-pressure influence and urban heat effects elevating highs beyond the typical 29–30°C mid-month average. With the daily peak already recorded and no further intensification expected, realistic challenges are negligible barring rare data revisions from instrument calibration, as nightly cooling to around 28°C poses no retroactive risk to the maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$344,321 Vol.
$344,321 Vol.
13 may 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
100%
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$344,321 Vol.
$344,321 Vol.
13 may 2026
21°C or below
$5,877 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,237 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,482 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,080 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,672 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,916 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$19,564 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$47,721 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$53,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$88,525 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$99,526 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of mid-afternoon on May 13 confirm the site's air temperature reached 31°C at 4 p.m. HKT amid sunny skies and low humidity around 65%, locking in the maximum well above the 31°C threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This aligns with seasonal forecasts from the Observatory predicting normal to above-normal temperatures for May, supported by persistent high-pressure influence and urban heat effects elevating highs beyond the typical 29–30°C mid-month average. With the daily peak already recorded and no further intensification expected, realistic challenges are negligible barring rare data revisions from instrument calibration, as nightly cooling to around 28°C poses no retroactive risk to the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$344,321Fecha de finalización
13 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory observations as of mid-afternoon on May 13 confirm the site's air temperature reached 31°C at 4 p.m. HKT amid sunny skies and low humidity around 65%, locking in the maximum well above the 31°C threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This aligns with seasonal forecasts from the Observatory predicting normal to above-normal temperatures for May, supported by persistent high-pressure influence and urban heat effects elevating highs beyond the typical 29–30°C mid-month average. With the daily peak already recorded and no further intensification expected, realistic challenges are negligible barring rare data revisions from instrument calibration, as nightly cooling to around 28°C poses no retroactive risk to the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$344,321Fecha de finalización
13 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory observations as of mid-afternoon on May 13 confirm the site's air temperature reached 31°C at 4 p.m. HKT amid sunny skies and low humidity around 65%, locking in the maximum well above the 31°C threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 31°C or higher. This aligns with seasonal forecasts from the Observatory predicting normal to above-normal temperatures for May, supported by persistent high-pressure influence and urban heat effects elevating highs beyond the typical 29–30°C mid-month average. With the daily peak already recorded and no further intensification expected, realistic challenges are negligible barring rare data revisions from instrument calibration, as nightly cooling to around 28°C poses no retroactive risk to the maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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