Strong high-pressure ridging and southerly Gulf flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 96–97 °F on August 16. This setup favors strong daytime heating while modest sea-breeze moderation and any isolated afternoon convection keep the probability of exceeding 98 °F low. Historical August climatology at Houston Intercontinental shows daily highs averaging 93–95 °F, providing context for why the 94–97 °F bins dominate trader consensus. Latest model runs remain consistent with little change in steering or moisture profiles through the afternoon, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 96–97 °F outcome at 54.5 % implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 16 de agosto?
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 22%
98-99°F 20%
92-93°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
56%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o más
<1%
96-97°F 56%
94-95°F 22%
98-99°F 20%
92-93°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
87°F or below
$273 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$663 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$259 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$402 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$724 Vol.
22%
96-97°F
$1,511 Vol.
56%
98-99°F
$448 Vol.
20%
100-101°F
$236 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$167 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$56 Vol.
<1%
106°F o más
$738 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure ridging and southerly Gulf flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 96–97 °F on August 16. This setup favors strong daytime heating while modest sea-breeze moderation and any isolated afternoon convection keep the probability of exceeding 98 °F low. Historical August climatology at Houston Intercontinental shows daily highs averaging 93–95 °F, providing context for why the 94–97 °F bins dominate trader consensus. Latest model runs remain consistent with little change in steering or moisture profiles through the afternoon, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 96–97 °F outcome at 54.5 % implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volumen
$5,478Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure ridging and southerly Gulf flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 96–97 °F on August 16. This setup favors strong daytime heating while modest sea-breeze moderation and any isolated afternoon convection keep the probability of exceeding 98 °F low. Historical August climatology at Houston Intercontinental shows daily highs averaging 93–95 °F, providing context for why the 94–97 °F bins dominate trader consensus. Latest model runs remain consistent with little change in steering or moisture profiles through the afternoon, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 96–97 °F outcome at 54.5 % implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,478Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong high-pressure ridging and southerly Gulf flow are sustaining hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service guidance calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 96–97 °F on August 16. This setup favors strong daytime heating while modest sea-breeze moderation and any isolated afternoon convection keep the probability of exceeding 98 °F low. Historical August climatology at Houston Intercontinental shows daily highs averaging 93–95 °F, providing context for why the 94–97 °F bins dominate trader consensus. Latest model runs remain consistent with little change in steering or moisture profiles through the afternoon, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 96–97 °F outcome at 54.5 % implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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