Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on July 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 3?
37°C 46%
36°C 43%
38°C 11%
35°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$14,848 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,848 Vol.
3 jul 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
4%
36°C
43%
37°C
46%
38°C
11%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 46%
36°C 43%
38°C 11%
35°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$14,848 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,848 Vol.
3 jul 2026
32°C or below
$1,453 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$847 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$822 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,642 Vol.
4%
36°C
$2,223 Vol.
43%
37°C
$2,290 Vol.
46%
38°C
$2,062 Vol.
11%
39°C
$911 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$867 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$921 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$808 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$14,848Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,848Fecha de finalización
3 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs near 36°C on July 3 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds, aligning with climatological norms for early July in central Spain's continental climate. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 36–37°C because numerical weather models show minor divergences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat-island effects and surface sensible heating potentially pushing readings one degree higher. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm that 35–38°C outcomes remain plausible within forecast uncertainty ranges, while extremes below 34°C or above 39°C would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection not currently supported by ensemble guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes