Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 19 point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60–70% chance of afternoon showers, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation keeps highs well below lowland norms, while the peak of the rainy season typically caps temperatures through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate shows values clustered around 78°F (25.6°C), with limited upside risk from drier air or stronger insolation that could push readings to 27°C. Historical August averages of 23–24°C provide context for the modest positive anomaly currently priced in. Daily updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and refreshed model runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 19 de agosto?
26°C 49%
27°C 23%
25°C 21%
24°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
49%
27°C
23%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 23%
25°C 21%
24°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$144 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$441 Vol.
3%
24°C
$174 Vol.
6%
25°C
$557 Vol.
21%
26°C
$328 Vol.
49%
27°C
$79 Vol.
23%
28°C
$198 Vol.
4%
29°C
$172 Vol.
1%
30°C
$144 Vol.
1%
31°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 19 point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60–70% chance of afternoon showers, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation keeps highs well below lowland norms, while the peak of the rainy season typically caps temperatures through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate shows values clustered around 78°F (25.6°C), with limited upside risk from drier air or stronger insolation that could push readings to 27°C. Historical August averages of 23–24°C provide context for the modest positive anomaly currently priced in. Daily updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and refreshed model runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volumen
$2,318Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 19 point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60–70% chance of afternoon showers, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation keeps highs well below lowland norms, while the peak of the rainy season typically caps temperatures through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate shows values clustered around 78°F (25.6°C), with limited upside risk from drier air or stronger insolation that could push readings to 27°C. Historical August averages of 23–24°C provide context for the modest positive anomaly currently priced in. Daily updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and refreshed model runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,318Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 19 point to a daily maximum near 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60–70% chance of afternoon showers, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation keeps highs well below lowland norms, while the peak of the rainy season typically caps temperatures through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate shows values clustered around 78°F (25.6°C), with limited upside risk from drier air or stronger insolation that could push readings to 27°C. Historical August averages of 23–24°C provide context for the modest positive anomaly currently priced in. Daily updates from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and refreshed model runs over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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