Current forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Panama City on August 11 are most likely to reach 34°C, driven by typical mid-August tropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, and light steering winds. The developing El Niño pattern, with above-average equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures, contributes to broader warming trends that support these elevated maxima without pushing into extreme outliers. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping 33–35°C outcomes dominant in trader consensus while assigning low probability to 36°C or higher given historical August baselines near 32°C and the moderating effects of seasonal rainfall. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 11 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 11 de agosto?
34°C 52%
35°C 25%
33°C 20%
32°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
20%
34°C
52%
35°C
25%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
1%
34°C 52%
35°C 25%
33°C 20%
32°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
28°C o menos
$126 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$29 Vol.
1%
31°C
$68 Vol.
1%
32°C
$200 Vol.
4%
33°C
$205 Vol.
20%
34°C
$215 Vol.
52%
35°C
$434 Vol.
25%
36°C
$100 Vol.
2%
37°C
$161 Vol.
1%
38°C o más
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Panama City on August 11 are most likely to reach 34°C, driven by typical mid-August tropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, and light steering winds. The developing El Niño pattern, with above-average equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures, contributes to broader warming trends that support these elevated maxima without pushing into extreme outliers. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping 33–35°C outcomes dominant in trader consensus while assigning low probability to 36°C or higher given historical August baselines near 32°C and the moderating effects of seasonal rainfall. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volumen
$1,631Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Panama City on August 11 are most likely to reach 34°C, driven by typical mid-August tropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, and light steering winds. The developing El Niño pattern, with above-average equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures, contributes to broader warming trends that support these elevated maxima without pushing into extreme outliers. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping 33–35°C outcomes dominant in trader consensus while assigning low probability to 36°C or higher given historical August baselines near 32°C and the moderating effects of seasonal rainfall. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,631Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological agencies indicate peak temperatures in Panama City on August 11 are most likely to reach 34°C, driven by typical mid-August tropical conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover from afternoon convection, and light steering winds. The developing El Niño pattern, with above-average equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures, contributes to broader warming trends that support these elevated maxima without pushing into extreme outliers. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping 33–35°C outcomes dominant in trader consensus while assigning low probability to 36°C or higher given historical August baselines near 32°C and the moderating effects of seasonal rainfall. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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