Current forecasts from multiple models, including Chinese meteorological sources and international outlets like WeatherBug and Meteoprog, point to a high near 26–28°C for Qingdao on September 2 under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeast winds and low precipitation risk. Historical September averages hover around 26°C, providing a stable baseline amid typical post-monsoon conditions. Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C over 28°C reflect trader emphasis on potential model spread in peak daytime heating, urban heat island effects, or minor forecast revisions expected in the next 24–48 hours from updated runs. With odds closely balanced, resolution hinges on the precise maximum reported by official stations, where small differences in cloud cover or wind could tip the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 2 de septiembre?
29°C 36%
30°C 34%
28°C 17%
31°C 11%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
36%
30°C
34%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C o más
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 34%
28°C 17%
31°C 11%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
36%
30°C
34%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including Chinese meteorological sources and international outlets like WeatherBug and Meteoprog, point to a high near 26–28°C for Qingdao on September 2 under mostly sunny skies with moderate northeast winds and low precipitation risk. Historical September averages hover around 26°C, providing a stable baseline amid typical post-monsoon conditions. Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C over 28°C reflect trader emphasis on potential model spread in peak daytime heating, urban heat island effects, or minor forecast revisions expected in the next 24–48 hours from updated runs. With odds closely balanced, resolution hinges on the precise maximum reported by official stations, where small differences in cloud cover or wind could tip the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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