Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 19 high reflects the interplay of a persistent shallow marine layer and a modest upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific. Onshore flow and coastal stratus, monitored via NOAA and NWS observations at KSFO, typically cap daytime warming near the 67–70°F climatological norm for mid-August, though brief ridge strengthening can allow 1–3°F of additional heating before the sea breeze strengthens. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer depth, keeping the 72–73°F bin competitive with 70–71°F while rendering higher outcomes improbable absent a pronounced offshore shift. Resolution hinges on the official KSFO maximum, sensitive to exact timing of marine-layer clearance and afternoon wind speeds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 19 de agosto?
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
65°F o menos
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o más
<1%
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
65°F o menos
$191 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$339 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$181 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$152 Vol.
31%
72-73°F
$235 Vol.
28%
74-75°F
$326 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$205 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$316 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$347 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
84°F o más
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 19 high reflects the interplay of a persistent shallow marine layer and a modest upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific. Onshore flow and coastal stratus, monitored via NOAA and NWS observations at KSFO, typically cap daytime warming near the 67–70°F climatological norm for mid-August, though brief ridge strengthening can allow 1–3°F of additional heating before the sea breeze strengthens. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer depth, keeping the 72–73°F bin competitive with 70–71°F while rendering higher outcomes improbable absent a pronounced offshore shift. Resolution hinges on the official KSFO maximum, sensitive to exact timing of marine-layer clearance and afternoon wind speeds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volumen
$2,336Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 19 high reflects the interplay of a persistent shallow marine layer and a modest upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific. Onshore flow and coastal stratus, monitored via NOAA and NWS observations at KSFO, typically cap daytime warming near the 67–70°F climatological norm for mid-August, though brief ridge strengthening can allow 1–3°F of additional heating before the sea breeze strengthens. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer depth, keeping the 72–73°F bin competitive with 70–71°F while rendering higher outcomes improbable absent a pronounced offshore shift. Resolution hinges on the official KSFO maximum, sensitive to exact timing of marine-layer clearance and afternoon wind speeds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,336Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s August 19 high reflects the interplay of a persistent shallow marine layer and a modest upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific. Onshore flow and coastal stratus, monitored via NOAA and NWS observations at KSFO, typically cap daytime warming near the 67–70°F climatological norm for mid-August, though brief ridge strengthening can allow 1–3°F of additional heating before the sea breeze strengthens. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer depth, keeping the 72–73°F bin competitive with 70–71°F while rendering higher outcomes improbable absent a pronounced offshore shift. Resolution hinges on the official KSFO maximum, sensitive to exact timing of marine-layer clearance and afternoon wind speeds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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