Latest numerical weather prediction models from INMET and international ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil, favoring mostly sunny conditions and maximum temperatures of 30–32°C in São Paulo on August 19. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (41%) and 32°C (32.5%), as ensemble spreads and minor steering uncertainties keep outcomes closely matched. Climatological August averages near 25–27°C provide baseline context, while current dry, stable atmospheric profiles and limited cloud cover enhance daytime heating potential. Traders weigh upcoming model runs and observational updates for any shifts in thermal advection or boundary-layer mixing that could tip resolution between the leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 19 de agosto?
31°C 42%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
42%
32°C
33%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
26°C or below
$18 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$154 Vol.
1%
28°C
$79 Vol.
2%
29°C
$35 Vol.
3%
30°C
$202 Vol.
17%
31°C
$295 Vol.
42%
32°C
$48 Vol.
33%
33°C
$45 Vol.
6%
34°C
$56 Vol.
5%
35°C
$191 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from INMET and international ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil, favoring mostly sunny conditions and maximum temperatures of 30–32°C in São Paulo on August 19. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (41%) and 32°C (32.5%), as ensemble spreads and minor steering uncertainties keep outcomes closely matched. Climatological August averages near 25–27°C provide baseline context, while current dry, stable atmospheric profiles and limited cloud cover enhance daytime heating potential. Traders weigh upcoming model runs and observational updates for any shifts in thermal advection or boundary-layer mixing that could tip resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volumen
$1,243Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from INMET and international ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil, favoring mostly sunny conditions and maximum temperatures of 30–32°C in São Paulo on August 19. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (41%) and 32°C (32.5%), as ensemble spreads and minor steering uncertainties keep outcomes closely matched. Climatological August averages near 25–27°C provide baseline context, while current dry, stable atmospheric profiles and limited cloud cover enhance daytime heating potential. Traders weigh upcoming model runs and observational updates for any shifts in thermal advection or boundary-layer mixing that could tip resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,243Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from INMET and international ensembles indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil, favoring mostly sunny conditions and maximum temperatures of 30–32°C in São Paulo on August 19. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (41%) and 32°C (32.5%), as ensemble spreads and minor steering uncertainties keep outcomes closely matched. Climatological August averages near 25–27°C provide baseline context, while current dry, stable atmospheric profiles and limited cloud cover enhance daytime heating potential. Traders weigh upcoming model runs and observational updates for any shifts in thermal advection or boundary-layer mixing that could tip resolution between the leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes