Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate points to a maximum of 17–19°C in São Paulo on August 24, driven by persistent wintertime subsidence, moderate southeasterly flow off the Atlantic, and limited daytime heating at the city’s ~760 m elevation. This keeps trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 19–21°C, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August normals near 24°C reflect stronger subtropical ridging; current cooler guidance aligns with observed polar air intrusions that have suppressed temperatures this week. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 24 de agosto?
20°C 30%
21°C 24%
19°C 19%
22°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
19%
20°C
30%
21°C
24%
22°C
11%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 30%
21°C 24%
19°C 19%
22°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
15°C or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$43 Vol.
1%
17°C
$38 Vol.
2%
18°C
$210 Vol.
9%
19°C
$482 Vol.
19%
20°C
$320 Vol.
30%
21°C
$306 Vol.
24%
22°C
$409 Vol.
11%
23°C
$252 Vol.
5%
24°C
$218 Vol.
4%
25°C or higher
$53 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate points to a maximum of 17–19°C in São Paulo on August 24, driven by persistent wintertime subsidence, moderate southeasterly flow off the Atlantic, and limited daytime heating at the city’s ~760 m elevation. This keeps trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 19–21°C, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August normals near 24°C reflect stronger subtropical ridging; current cooler guidance aligns with observed polar air intrusions that have suppressed temperatures this week. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$2,371Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate points to a maximum of 17–19°C in São Paulo on August 24, driven by persistent wintertime subsidence, moderate southeasterly flow off the Atlantic, and limited daytime heating at the city’s ~760 m elevation. This keeps trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 19–21°C, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August normals near 24°C reflect stronger subtropical ridging; current cooler guidance aligns with observed polar air intrusions that have suppressed temperatures this week. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,371Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate points to a maximum of 17–19°C in São Paulo on August 24, driven by persistent wintertime subsidence, moderate southeasterly flow off the Atlantic, and limited daytime heating at the city’s ~760 m elevation. This keeps trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 19–21°C, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August normals near 24°C reflect stronger subtropical ridging; current cooler guidance aligns with observed polar air intrusions that have suppressed temperatures this week. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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